I’m writing this hours after the minority government packed the Supreme Court with a Justice who is not supported by the majority of Americans. We had one simple and effective tool to use to prevent minority rule government that does these despicable things. We failed to use our right to vote effectively in 2016 and 2018. Our failure as U.S. voters directly led to this poor result. Legal scholars predict this will hurt the average American, especially women and non-white people, for generations to come.
Will we fail to use our power to vote in preventing minority rule government again in 2020? This is how U.S. voting looks by the numbers:
257 million are eligible to vote
240 million are registered to vote
150 million are likely to vote (a high side estimate)
60 million have already voted (a week before the deadline)*
It’s easy to conclude that the 90 million who do not vote (registered but not voting) who are primarily responsible for enabling the minority party to continue to control the majority of us and govern in ways that harm the majority of us. The encouraging thing, statisticians tell us, is that we don’t need to change the behavior of all 90 million. Just getting 1 in 100 of these non-voters to cast a ballot would end minority rule government in the United States federal government. Even in the most lopsided local voting districts, getting 1 in 10 non-voters to cast a ballot would displace most minority governments.
The big unanswered question is whether this year’s final vote count will still result in the over-representation of older white voters relative to their share of the population or whether we see more equal rates of voter turnout across all voter groups. I’m guessing that nothing has really changed and that minority rule will continue in many parts of the country.
My own work and financial support in recent years has focused on supporting increasing the number of votes, rather than support parties or candidates. We’ve made some progress but we must do better.
Only by increasing voter participation can we get rid of this destructive and cruel system of minority rule in government. Few things in our lives are this simple and this clear. We are sick of government by rich old white men. I will continue to do my best to end this broken system by encouraging more people to vote. That’s our only hope.
* early voting number per Axios estimate yesterday. Other voter data was reported by USA Today this week.